Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.181904 0.208824 0.239398 0.276909 0.321982 0.374767 0.441804
2025-06-22 0.137412 0.171198 0.213760 0.272209 0.351819 0.458616 0.616521
2025-06-29 0.113883 0.150529 0.200357 0.274952 0.387226 0.555918 0.841083
2025-07-06 0.096586 0.133449 0.186568 0.271643 0.410460 0.639849 1.076109
2025-07-13 0.086148 0.123628 0.180420 0.276996 0.446626 0.753236 1.408089
2025-07-20 0.078304 0.116106 0.175952 0.283297 0.484953 0.881563 1.830852
2025-07-27 0.071893 0.109696 0.171907 0.288984 0.522978 1.021570 2.357264
2025-08-03 0.066934 0.104844 0.169505 0.296815 0.566871 1.189713 3.063628
2025-08-10 0.061979 0.099290 0.164927 0.299387 0.600218 1.346419 3.855554
2025-08-17 0.057510 0.093996 0.159992 0.300160 0.629655 1.505547 4.793553
2025-08-24 0.053314 0.088690 0.154271 0.298144 0.651946 1.655243 5.846317
2025-08-31 0.049349 0.083372 0.147822 0.293349 0.666081 1.788005 6.979878
2025-09-07 0.047101 0.081087 0.147200 0.301921 0.719099 2.075460 9.282550
2025-09-14 0.043702 0.076271 0.140873 0.296109 0.731145 2.232007 11.144502
2025-09-21 0.041434 0.073435 0.138317 0.299006 0.769908 2.512780 14.389512
2025-09-28 0.038857 0.069734 0.133468 0.295299 0.787629 2.722841 17.642912
2025-10-05 0.037268 0.067875 0.132407 0.301227 0.838692 3.115422 23.741456
2025-10-12 0.035882 0.066297 0.131777 0.308218 0.896263 3.587809 32.697587
2025-10-19 0.034554 0.064717 0.130946 0.314532 0.954261 4.117924 45.435340
2025-10-26 0.033468 0.063547 0.130931 0.323233 1.025209 4.797205 65.993176
2025-11-02 0.032118 0.061686 0.129050 0.326091 1.074702 5.403566 91.700658
2025-11-09 0.030762 0.059700 0.126645 0.326950 1.116850 6.016188 126.639816
2025-11-16 0.029350 0.057477 0.123423 0.324710 1.145250 6.570382 170.710256